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Traders

aprsu

0x097933be741e8044c050124f331f80381500364b

Realised P&L
$-25.69
Volume
$673.47
Markets traded
42
Open portfolio
$687.18

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded42
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample32 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.645$388.29+$87.29
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.355$213.71−$87.29
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31? · No0.9710.979$48.95+$0.40
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October? · No0.9760.971$29.13−$0.15
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.9750.989$7.10+$0.10
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25? · No0.7500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$1.00
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance · United States0.5400.000$0.00−$5.40
Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$1.00
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$2.00
Will England win on 2026-06-23? · Yes0.8100.000$0.00−$5.83
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August? · No0.9830.000$0.00−$24.57
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$1.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 12:41Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?BUY0.976$29.28
09-04 00:49Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?BUY0.971$48.55
08-19 15:34Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?BUY0.983$24.57
07-06 12:32Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.992$9.92
07-06 12:32Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.991$102.07
07-06 12:32Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.992$102.18
07-06 12:31Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.52$2.60
07-06 12:31Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?BUY0.27$1.35
07-06 12:30Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?BUY0.2799999048$2.00
07-06 12:30United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceBUY0.54$5.40
06-22 22:42Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?BUY0.978$14.67
06-22 22:35Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.75$1.00
06-22 22:35Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.7599999088$1.00
06-22 22:35Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.8299999087$1.00
06-22 22:35Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.72$3.79
Trader aprsu · PolyBot Pro