jkvgcfc
0x0975e204774cb9e1f5a33902b1b1bab89babd59d
- Realised P&L
- $-53.87
- Volume
- $4.5k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $58.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)93.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Solana be above $110 on October 20? · No | 0.945 | 1.000 | $36.46 | +$2.00 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $115 on October 22? · No | 0.961 | 0.979 | $22.26 | +$0.40 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) close at $255-$260 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 20 – Apr 24? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.29 |
| Exact Score: FC Metz 2 - 2 FC Nantes? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.98 |
| Will Inter Kashi FC win on 2026-04-07? · No | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$141.34 |
| LoL: Apex Mission Impossible vs Winthrop University - Game 2 Winner · Apex Mission Impossible | 0.231 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$168.89 |
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf: O/U 1.5 · Under | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$124.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$129.60at 0.820Türkiye vs. Romania: O/U 4.5
- +$105.34at 0.170Portland Timbers leading at halftime?
- +$94.41at 0.860Exact Score: Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2 - 1 VfL Wolfsburg?
- +$79.70at 0.790Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $200-$205 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?
- +$15.73at 0.870Will "Virgin River: Season 7" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-02 10:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 5? | BUY | 0.9859999996 | $14.34 |
| 06-02 07:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 5? | BUY | 0.979706224 | $14.34 |
| 06-02 06:44 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 5? | BUY | 0.9789999994 | $14.34 |
| 04-20 02:40 | Will Apple (AAPL) close at $255-$260 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 20 – Apr 24? | BUY | 0.17 | $22.29 |
| 04-02 09:31 | Exact Score: FC Metz 2 - 2 FC Nantes? | BUY | 0.15 | $26.98 |
| 04-01 15:24 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.19 | $124.99 |
| 03-31 21:23 | Portland Timbers leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.17 | $21.58 |
| 03-31 02:19 | LoL: Apex Mission Impossible vs Winthrop University - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.23 | $167.10 |
| 03-20 11:40 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.983 | $154.84 |
| 03-20 11:40 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9839999999 | $155.00 |