Occult
0x09705c0b0a5a7359f5c94688687fc73447e65ae4
- Realised P&L
- $40.8k
- Volume
- $8.02M
- Markets traded
- 1,631
- Open portfolio
- $294.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,631
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration22.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.6kat 0.769MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?
- +$11.7kat 0.580Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$5.8kat 0.048Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- +$5.5kat 0.510Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$5.0kat 0.361Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 26-1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 01:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.0385 | $3.85 |
| 08-03 01:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.039 | $3.90 |
| 08-03 01:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.04 | $4.00 |
| 08-03 01:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.04 | $4.00 |
| 08-03 01:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.04 | $4.00 |
| 08-03 01:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.04 | $4.00 |
| 08-03 01:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.04 | $4.00 |
| 08-03 01:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.04 | $4.00 |
| 08-03 01:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.038 | $26.79 |
| 08-01 18:56 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August? | BUY | 0.14 | $91.28 |
| 08-01 18:54 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August? | BUY | 0.14 | $144.69 |
| 08-01 18:54 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August? | BUY | 0.0842247753 | $82.85 |
| 07-31 14:58 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2? | SELL | 0.0303765963 | $8.87 |
| 07-31 14:47 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.58 |
| 07-31 09:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | SELL | 0.003 | $3.12 |