Johnnyb
0x095f7b9153db237dc4f82fe5adf9df90a5650a7b
- Realised P&L
- $-47.95
- Volume
- $26.4k
- Markets traded
- 103
- Open portfolio
- $56.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded103
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.595 | $22.04 | +$2.04 |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.395 | $20.26 | +$0.26 |
| Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes | 0.327 | 0.245 | $7.57 | −$2.52 |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.120 | $6.15 | −$13.85 |
| Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes | 0.142 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$207.00at 0.310Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?
- +$161.82at 0.110US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$115.77at 0.080Will the Australian Labor Party win 85 or more seats?
- +$88.87at 0.620Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?
- +$84.00at 0.300Trump wins every swing state?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-21 18:07 | Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2399999856 | $10.00 |
| 05-23 14:24 | Will Paul Dans be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.47 |
| 05-23 14:24 | Will Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | SELL | 0.044 | $2.44 |
| 05-23 14:24 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $15.56 |
| 05-23 14:23 | Will Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.11 | $8.95 |
| 05-23 14:23 | Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.261 | $24.62 |
| 05-23 14:23 | Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | SELL | 0.3 | $9.10 |
| 05-23 14:23 | Iran Nuke before 2027? | SELL | 0.0718980578 | $62.49 |
| 05-14 12:12 | Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BUY | 0.64 | $10.00 |
| 04-18 12:07 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.187 | $77.38 |
| 04-15 11:49 | Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.7000369094 | $40.00 |
| 04-11 23:13 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | SELL | 0.29 | $33.14 |
| 04-11 23:09 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.088 | $19.56 |
| 04-11 23:08 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.089999996 | $20.00 |
| 04-11 23:08 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999928 | $20.00 |