xiaopeiqi
0x095bf5c5a3cd4c68818eb22672a56cc0909b2971
- Realised P&L
- $-85.68
- Volume
- $12.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,358
- Open portfolio
- $31.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,358
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration42.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.66at 0.110Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$42.24at 0.610Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
- +$7.44at 0.459Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
- +$4.95at 0.010Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
- +$4.48at 0.770Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-18 11:14 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | SELL | 0.65 | $39.65 |
| 07-14 13:37 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? | SELL | 0.93 | $122.76 |
| 07-14 04:46 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | SELL | 0.34 | $72.42 |
| 07-14 04:45 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | SELL | 0.28 | $0.30 |
| 07-12 02:27 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.19731026 | $98.66 |
| 07-06 15:00 | Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.47 | $33.84 |
| 06-29 01:21 | Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | SELL | 0.34 | $22.10 |
| 06-28 11:56 | Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $2.48 |
| 06-28 11:50 | Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | SELL | 0.35 | $26.95 |
| 06-25 14:34 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | SELL | 0.3506666667 | $26.30 |
| 06-24 15:02 | Betmoar FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.79 | $17.89 |
| 06-24 11:50 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 25? | SELL | 0.2 | $13.60 |
| 06-23 10:12 | Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.45 | $27.00 |
| 06-23 05:21 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 24? | SELL | 0.53 | $28.09 |
| 06-23 04:49 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.1216666667 | $10.95 |