CaribbeAnansi
0x095b0ff2a0bbf251527300965399b967f0e69e26
- Realised P&L
- $-113.73
- Volume
- $17.3k
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $12.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.075 | $5.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.035 | $4.31 | −$5.69 |
| Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.001 | $2.50 | −$12.50 |
| Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.001 | $0.43 | −$4.57 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.169 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.00 |
| Will Warsh say "China" during swearing-in? · Yes | 0.286 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$42.50at 0.320Will Uber Technologies (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$18.78at 0.060Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?
- +$11.26at 0.119Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?
- +$8.87at 0.530Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
- +$4.52at 0.042Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-22 12:28 | Will Warsh say "China" during swearing-in? | BUY | 0.2858957928 | $10.00 |
| 05-07 19:51 | Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.3299999812 | $10.00 |
| 05-07 19:44 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.1499999887 | $10.00 |
| 05-07 19:42 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1689999878 | $10.00 |
| 04-28 05:29 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | BUY | 0.5299999899 | $10.00 |
| 04-05 07:32 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.20 |
| 03-30 23:38 | Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.3549999553 | $5.00 |
| 02-25 10:08 | Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga? | SELL | 0.6 | $5.00 |
| 02-25 10:08 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027? | SELL | 0.34 | $1.00 |
| 02-24 05:46 | Will Oracle (ORCL) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.84 | $5.00 |
| 02-17 08:14 | Will DoorDash (DASH) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.1499999719 | $4.00 |
| 02-17 08:12 | Will Occidental Petroleum (OXY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.5099999566 | $2.00 |
| 02-17 08:05 | Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.44 | $3.26 |
| 02-17 08:05 | Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.5656346688 | $14.26 |
| 02-17 08:04 | Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering? | SELL | 0.67 | $5.07 |