shado1
0x09523f5867214a74c8fe61d907b9bc0f259156c5
- Realised P&L
- $-30.82
- Volume
- $113.95
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $11.73
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-27.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-10-24? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.525 | $5.94 | −$0.06 |
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.420 | 0.405 | $5.79 | −$0.21 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Lions vs. Cardinals: O/U 54.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bears vs. Packers · Bears | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Raiders vs. Patriots: O/U 44.5 · Under | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.85at 0.622Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-10?
- +$-7.18at 0.492Ducks vs. Jets: O/U 6.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 15:14 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.419999979 | $6.00 |
| 10-12 15:11 | Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-10-24? | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $6.00 |
| 10-11 16:02 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 11:01 | Lions vs. Cardinals: O/U 54.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 10-09 17:11 | Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.6099999761 | $9.43 |
| 10-09 17:09 | Ducks vs. Jets: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.4799999781 | $7.00 |
| 10-09 17:07 | Raiders vs. Patriots: O/U 44.5 | BUY | 0.4699999691 | $7.00 |
| 10-09 17:04 | Bears vs. Packers | BUY | 0.5299999667 | $7.00 |