PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

KimKataguiri

0x09505b724cbe30774d3657cffc4ba4a27af8526d

Realised P&L
$-93.43
Volume
$45.4k
Markets traded
178
Open portfolio
$162.49

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded178
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration96.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0470.016$157.32$308.84
Will Marcelo Brigadeiro win the Governor of Santa Catarina election? · Yes0.0570.021$4.30$7.10
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0170.001$0.50$16.50
Will Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election? · No0.0900.029$0.35$0.73
Will André Luís win the Governor of Maranhão election? · Yes0.0200.001$0.03$0.97
Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goals · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$1.30
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00$54.99
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3090.000$0.00$15.45
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2770.000$0.00$12.00
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$4.00
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$11.49
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance · Norway0.1360.000$0.00$6.12
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? · No0.1350.000$0.00$13.50
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-11 01:12Will André Luís win the Governor of Maranhão election?BUY0.02$0.80
08-11 01:04Will Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?BUY0.09$1.08
08-11 01:02Will Marcelo Brigadeiro win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?BUY0.059$1.76
08-08 03:54Will Marcelo Brigadeiro win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?BUY0.055$1.54
08-08 01:22Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.076$2.16
08-08 01:17Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.004$15.55
08-02 14:22Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.072$28.92
07-25 04:09Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.007$2.81
07-24 02:03Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.006$10.00
07-19 19:26Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.606$36.36
07-12 02:52Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.299999982$10.00
07-11 23:18Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceBUY0.135$3.38
07-07 18:00Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?BUY0.06$3.00
07-05 19:45Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.55$22.00
07-05 19:45Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.55$32.99