KimKataguiri
0x09505b724cbe30774d3657cffc4ba4a27af8526d
- Realised P&L
- $-93.43
- Volume
- $45.4k
- Markets traded
- 178
- Open portfolio
- $162.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded178
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.62at 0.417Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
- +$39.88at 0.507Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?
- +$38.16at 0.541Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
- +$36.50at 0.270Exact Score: Any Other Score?
- +$33.00at 0.340Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-11 01:12 | Will André Luís win the Governor of Maranhão election? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.80 |
| 08-11 01:04 | Will Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.08 |
| 08-11 01:02 | Will Marcelo Brigadeiro win the Governor of Santa Catarina election? | BUY | 0.059 | $1.76 |
| 08-08 03:54 | Will Marcelo Brigadeiro win the Governor of Santa Catarina election? | BUY | 0.055 | $1.54 |
| 08-08 01:22 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.076 | $2.16 |
| 08-08 01:17 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.004 | $15.55 |
| 08-02 14:22 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.072 | $28.92 |
| 07-25 04:09 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.007 | $2.81 |
| 07-24 02:03 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.006 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 19:26 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.606 | $36.36 |
| 07-12 02:52 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.299999982 | $10.00 |
| 07-11 23:18 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.135 | $3.38 |
| 07-07 18:00 | Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw? | BUY | 0.06 | $3.00 |
| 07-05 19:45 | Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.55 | $22.00 |
| 07-05 19:45 | Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.55 | $32.99 |