PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

RichRyan

0x094eee4d5249f84658b02f147c2610268785d40e

Realised P&L
$-1.6k
Volume
$69.2k
Markets traded
275
Open portfolio
$823.90

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded275
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · No0.8500.935$280.50+$25.50
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? · Yes0.8530.990$170.85+$23.61
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · No0.8540.945$166.27+$15.95
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes0.6260.515$148.84$32.17
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? · No0.4630.065$28.07$171.93
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027? · Yes0.3340.095$27.07$68.12
Stripe IPO before 2027? · Yes0.3850.046$1.74$12.80
Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0090.001$0.56$9.44
Falcons vs. Saints · Saints0.5400.000$0.00$54.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$90.20
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026? · No0.4790.000$0.00$66.99
Will MrBeast say "Walmart" at the NYT DealBook Summit? · Yes0.5680.000$0.00$24.10
Will Tesla (TSLA) hit a 52-Week High by December 31? · No0.8200.000$0.00$41.00
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Execration (BO1) · Execration0.2500.000$0.00$27.50
Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in November? · No0.5730.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-18 07:05Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.185$74.00
06-09 17:41Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.6251364313$100.00
06-08 17:35HSBC Championships: Qinwen Zheng vs Jaqueline CristianBUY0.4699999934$30.00
06-08 17:33Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.0089999991$10.00
06-08 17:32Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.4630541866$200.00
06-08 17:30Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?BUY0.8799999996$100.00
06-08 17:22Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?SELL0.009$0.54
06-08 17:22Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?SELL0.002$0.30
06-08 17:20Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.162$16.20
06-08 17:19Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?SELL0.001$0.20
06-08 17:19Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?SELL0.004$0.23
06-08 17:18Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?SELL0.992$238.08
06-08 17:18Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?SELL0.991$297.30
04-11 17:21Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?BUY0.969$232.56
04-11 17:18US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.8764477273$96.41