PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x094eee4d5249f84658b02f147c2610268785d40e

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
276
Open portfolio
$762.85

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded276
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · No0.8500.950$285.00+$30.00
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · No0.8540.967$170.06+$19.73
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes0.6260.525$151.72−$29.28
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? · No0.7400.815$110.14+$10.14
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027? · Yes0.3340.080$22.80−$72.40
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? · No0.4630.050$21.60−$178.40
Stripe IPO before 2027? · Yes0.3850.026$0.98−$13.55
Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0090.001$0.56−$9.44
Falcons vs. Saints · Saints0.5400.000$0.00−$54.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$90.20
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026? · No0.4790.000$0.00−$66.99
Will MrBeast say "Walmart" at the NYT DealBook Summit? · Yes0.5680.000$0.00−$24.10
Will Tesla (TSLA) hit a 52-Week High by December 31? · No0.8200.000$0.00−$41.00
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Execration (BO1) · Execration0.2500.000$0.00−$27.50
Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in November? · No0.5730.000$0.00−$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 07:57China x Philippines military clash before 2027?BUY0.7399999988$100.00
09-30 07:51Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?SELL0.998$172.31
06-18 07:05Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.185$74.00
06-09 17:41Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.6251364313$100.00
06-08 17:35HSBC Championships: Qinwen Zheng vs Jaqueline CristianBUY0.4699999934$30.00
06-08 17:33Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.0089999991$10.00
06-08 17:32Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.4630541866$200.00
06-08 17:30Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?BUY0.8799999996$100.00
06-08 17:22Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?SELL0.009$0.54
06-08 17:22Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?SELL0.002$0.30
06-08 17:20Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.162$16.20
06-08 17:19Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?SELL0.001$0.20
06-08 17:19Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?SELL0.004$0.23
06-08 17:18Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?SELL0.992$238.08
06-08 17:18Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?SELL0.991$297.30