RichRyan
0x094eee4d5249f84658b02f147c2610268785d40e
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $69.2k
- Markets traded
- 275
- Open portfolio
- $823.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded275
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$265.47at 0.583Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
- +$130.85at 0.478Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?
- +$98.80at 0.509Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$95.10at 0.486Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on November 24?
- +$86.19at 0.703Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 07:05 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.185 | $74.00 |
| 06-09 17:41 | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.6251364313 | $100.00 |
| 06-08 17:35 | HSBC Championships: Qinwen Zheng vs Jaqueline Cristian | BUY | 0.4699999934 | $30.00 |
| 06-08 17:33 | Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.0089999991 | $10.00 |
| 06-08 17:32 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.4630541866 | $200.00 |
| 06-08 17:30 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | BUY | 0.8799999996 | $100.00 |
| 06-08 17:22 | Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30? | SELL | 0.009 | $0.54 |
| 06-08 17:22 | Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.30 |
| 06-08 17:20 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.162 | $16.20 |
| 06-08 17:19 | Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.20 |
| 06-08 17:19 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.23 |
| 06-08 17:18 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.992 | $238.08 |
| 06-08 17:18 | Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.991 | $297.30 |
| 04-11 17:21 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.969 | $232.56 |
| 04-11 17:18 | US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.8764477273 | $96.41 |