PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

chfts

0x094adace8a3f0ec705ca5dee02fbe27c4d0f6a97

Realised P&L
$-123.79
Volume
$64.1k
Markets traded
81
Open portfolio
$34.72

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded81
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9790.992$20.26+$0.26
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 October 19-25? · No0.9940.991$11.46−$0.04
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in October? · No0.9910.994$3.01+$0.01
Nets vs. Pistons · Pistons0.9000.000$0.00−$1.00
Hurricanes vs. Rangers · Rangers0.4600.000$0.00−$112.70
Hornets vs. Thunder · Thunder0.9100.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-19 08:01Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 October 19-25?BUY0.9939999998$11.50
10-07 07:40Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 8?BUY0.997$6.00
10-07 07:39Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in October?BUY0.9909999993$3.00
10-07 07:39Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 October 5-11?BUY0.992$21.00
09-15 04:13Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in September?BUY0.9909999986$5.50
09-15 04:13Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 16?BUY0.9699999935$3.00
08-22 03:55Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August?BUY0.9949999577$6.00
08-22 03:55Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 23?BUY0.9939999998$10.00
08-08 04:04Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,400 in August?BUY0.995$6.00
08-08 04:01Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 9?BUY0.99$5.00
07-31 08:14Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 1?BUY0.99$4.00
07-25 09:29Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 26?BUY0.997$16.00
07-06 03:39Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.8299999502$1.50
07-06 03:39Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9909999986$5.50
07-06 03:38Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 7?BUY0.998$29.00