chfts
0x094adace8a3f0ec705ca5dee02fbe27c4d0f6a97
- Realised P&L
- $-123.79
- Volume
- $64.1k
- Markets traded
- 81
- Open portfolio
- $34.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded81
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.979 | 0.992 | $20.26 | +$0.26 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 October 19-25? · No | 0.994 | 0.991 | $11.46 | −$0.04 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in October? · No | 0.991 | 0.994 | $3.01 | +$0.01 |
| Nets vs. Pistons · Pistons | 0.900 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Hurricanes vs. Rangers · Rangers | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$112.70 |
| Hornets vs. Thunder · Thunder | 0.910 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.62at 0.650Trump found guilty in hush money case?
- +$1.28at 0.940Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
- +$0.75at 0.952Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 8?
- +$0.43at 0.920Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in June?
- +$0.34at 0.900Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 08:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 October 19-25? | BUY | 0.9939999998 | $11.50 |
| 10-07 07:40 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.997 | $6.00 |
| 10-07 07:39 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in October? | BUY | 0.9909999993 | $3.00 |
| 10-07 07:39 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.992 | $21.00 |
| 09-15 04:13 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in September? | BUY | 0.9909999986 | $5.50 |
| 09-15 04:13 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.9699999935 | $3.00 |
| 08-22 03:55 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August? | BUY | 0.9949999577 | $6.00 |
| 08-22 03:55 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 23? | BUY | 0.9939999998 | $10.00 |
| 08-08 04:04 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,400 in August? | BUY | 0.995 | $6.00 |
| 08-08 04:01 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 08:14 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.00 |
| 07-25 09:29 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 26? | BUY | 0.997 | $16.00 |
| 07-06 03:39 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.8299999502 | $1.50 |
| 07-06 03:39 | Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9909999986 | $5.50 |
| 07-06 03:38 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 7? | BUY | 0.998 | $29.00 |