Miestissit
0x09433292a1d9fc6ba046e06cb9e8853033a01019
- Realised P&L
- $-220.97
- Volume
- $22.6k
- Markets traded
- 167
- Open portfolio
- $517.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded167
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Minnesota Wild be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.084 | $167.00 | +$67.00 |
| Will the Carolina Hurricanes be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.115 | $114.52 | +$14.52 |
| Will the Dallas Stars be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.055 | $91.67 | −$8.33 |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.095 | $79.17 | −$20.83 |
| Will the Florida Panthers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.065 | $65.00 | −$45.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET · Up | 0.792 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.92 |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference? · Yes | 0.393 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.20 |
| South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on May 10? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Lakers Total Games O/U 5.5 · Over 5.5 | 0.317 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$33.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$100.56at 0.497Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 1?
- +$60.61at 0.490Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 29?
- +$42.04at 0.543Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 30?
- +$20.06at 0.818Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 2?
- +$19.41at 0.528Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 14:41 | Will the Minnesota Wild be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? | BUY | 0.05 | $100.00 |
| 09-29 14:39 | Will the Dallas Stars be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? | BUY | 0.06 | $100.00 |
| 09-29 14:39 | Will the Carolina Hurricanes be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? | BUY | 0.1004221381 | $100.00 |
| 09-29 14:39 | Will the Florida Panthers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? | BUY | 0.11 | $110.00 |
| 09-29 14:38 | Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? | BUY | 0.1199999999 | $100.00 |
| 08-23 10:41 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 24? | BUY | 0.619999969 | $2.00 |
| 06-28 09:38 | South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.72 | $20.00 |
| 06-28 09:33 | Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.0246796762 | $11.22 |
| 06-28 09:32 | Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.011 | $2.03 |
| 05-09 06:02 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on May 10? | BUY | 0.0096737995 | $1.00 |
| 05-04 15:10 | Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.053 | $7.57 |
| 05-03 13:33 | Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.33999983 | $1.00 |
| 05-03 12:09 | NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Lakers Total Games O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.3171171171 | $33.00 |
| 05-03 12:07 | Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference? | SELL | 0.48 | $15.61 |
| 05-03 12:07 | Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.087 | $20.43 |