PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

41c

0x093db68ffb0a4c97aca7fab45817c16a4461220e

Realised P&L
$-116.51
Volume
$25.8k
Markets traded
683
Open portfolio
$214.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded683
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 13? · No0.7940.726$36.43−$3.44
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 14? · No0.6100.585$32.84−$1.40
XRP Up or Down - October 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET · Down0.9080.960$24.00+$1.30
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 13? · Yes0.4300.420$16.80−$0.40
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 13? · Yes0.4800.375$15.00−$4.20
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 13? · No0.5700.610$12.20+$0.80
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 14? · Yes0.4050.285$11.40−$4.80
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on October 13? · No0.7600.755$10.86−$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on October 13? · Yes0.4800.420$10.86−$1.55
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on October 13? · Yes0.4480.355$8.88−$2.33
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 13? · Yes0.3300.335$6.70+$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 13? · Yes0.2700.225$4.50−$0.90
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 14? · No0.7400.845$4.22+$0.53
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 13? · Yes0.4700.880$4.14+$1.93
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on October 13? · Yes0.2100.185$3.70−$0.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 23:04Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETBUY0.99$4.95
10-12 23:04Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETBUY0.99$4.95
10-12 23:04Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETBUY0.99$4.95
10-12 22:49Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETBUY0.95$4.95
10-12 22:49Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETBUY0.95$4.95
10-12 22:49Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETBUY0.95$4.95
10-12 22:49Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETBUY0.98$4.95
10-12 22:49Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETBUY0.98$4.95
10-12 22:44Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETBUY0.9399999973$6.93
10-12 22:44Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETBUY0.9399999268$6.93
10-12 22:44Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETBUY0.92$6.93
10-12 22:44Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETBUY0.92$6.93
10-12 22:44Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETBUY0.92$6.93
10-12 22:39Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETBUY0.99$4.95
10-12 22:39Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETBUY0.99$4.95