zayavsove
0x092f98b1c3a759123f80dbe811c5c0d488313af6
- Realised P&L
- $-101.67
- Volume
- $14.4k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $157.38
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration36.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026? · No | 0.500 | 1.000 | $155.00 | +$77.50 |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.065 | $2.17 | −$1.83 |
| Will Shohei Ohtani lead the MLB in runs for the 2026 regular season? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.009 | $0.21 | −$5.29 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 13? · Up | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion? · Yes | 0.679 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$77.50 |
| French election called by December 31? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
- +$2.5kat 0.500S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 26?
- +$1.5kat 0.500Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 Week of July 13 2026?
- +$295.80at 0.500Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
- +$125.00at 0.500Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 15:14 | Will Shohei Ohtani lead the MLB in runs for the 2026 regular season? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.50 |
| 05-24 08:46 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.845 | $5.0k |
| 05-24 08:46 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.8461715586 | $5.0k |
| 02-16 08:38 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.993 | $595.80 |
| 02-16 08:37 | Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.1199999748 | $4.00 |
| 02-16 08:37 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | BUY | 0.5979999685 | $3.00 |
| 01-13 14:40 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 13? | BUY | 0.6899999405 | $8.00 |
| 10-10 18:01 | Will “The Woman in Cabin 10” be the top global Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.8299999834 | $4.00 |
| 10-10 18:01 | Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | BUY | 0.6789999795 | $5.00 |
| 10-10 18:01 | French election called by December 31? | BUY | 0.5399999712 | $3.00 |
| 06-30 06:59 | No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.8199999909 | $9.00 |
| 02-26 13:25 | Mary Kate Cornett OnlyFans by Friday? | BUY | 0.0397255252 | $5.00 |
| 12-01 20:49 | Will Barcelona win La Liga? | SELL | 0.3914501449 | $135.05 |
| 11-26 10:39 | Will Barcelona win La Liga? | BUY | 0.5399999993 | $193.00 |
| 09-07 12:09 | Will Nebraska beat Colorado? | BUY | 0.6899999917 | $2.50 |