rthfgbfgb
0x092c24337a67b3cc70fbd654aef07f90b274e936
- Realised P&L
- $154.28
- Volume
- $12.7k
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $117.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will XRP dip to $0.80 in October? · No | 0.996 | 0.986 | $65.30 | −$0.70 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? · No | 0.994 | 0.994 | $51.97 | −$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$82.00at 0.590Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?
- +$63.82at 0.588Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$56.03at 0.646Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$3.83at 0.840Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
- +$2.80at 0.990Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 07:26 | Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.994 | $52.00 |
| 10-02 07:25 | Will XRP dip to $0.80 in October? | BUY | 0.996 | $66.00 |
| 09-17 11:41 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.995 | $113.00 |
| 08-19 06:00 | Iran leadership change by August 22? | BUY | 0.998 | $170.00 |
| 08-19 06:00 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $176.00 |
| 07-20 11:53 | Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by July 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $173.00 |
| 07-20 11:52 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $170.00 |
| 06-21 06:19 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $175 in June? | BUY | 0.9969999946 | $154.00 |
| 06-18 13:50 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.991 | $210.00 |
| 06-18 13:49 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | BUY | 0.998 | $115.00 |
| 06-01 11:45 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | BUY | 0.9879999988 | $132.00 |
| 06-01 11:42 | Will the price of Solana be above $90 on June 1? | BUY | 0.9989999927 | $120.00 |
| 05-25 05:01 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $185.00 |
| 05-22 10:04 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.9849999916 | $115.00 |
| 05-22 10:03 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $175.00 |