Felix11Ba11
0x092a5c8d6adb8680b164ec3a65587cda0da59eb1
- Realised P&L
- $-5.03
- Volume
- $339.16
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $14.32
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration31.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.265 | $6.24 | −$1.76 |
| Will American Airlines (AAL) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.420 | $4.12 | −$0.88 |
| Will Trump say "America First" during his Midterm Rally in Montana? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.190 | $3.17 | −$0.83 |
| Will Trump say "Ceasefire" during his Midterm Rally in Montana? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.028 | $0.80 | −$1.20 |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-14? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.76at 0.433Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
- +$5.46at 0.764Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14?
- +$4.96at 0.508Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$4.66at 0.525Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?
- +$-4.20at 0.109Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 20:37 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.93 | $13.42 |
| 10-14 20:32 | Will Trump say "America First" during his Midterm Rally in Montana? | BUY | 0.2399999952 | $4.00 |
| 10-14 20:32 | Will Trump say "Ceasefire" during his Midterm Rally in Montana? | BUY | 0.069999999 | $2.00 |
| 10-14 19:16 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.4599999563 | $4.00 |
| 10-14 18:54 | Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $7.00 |
| 10-14 18:53 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 09:27 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.1038991588 | $4.00 |
| 10-12 08:55 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.4189999728 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 06:17 | Will JPMorgan say "Quarter" 15+ times during earnings call? | BUY | 0.0402187129 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 20:36 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $8.00 |
| 10-11 20:22 | Will American Airlines (AAL) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 20:21 | Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.49549545 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 20:18 | Will JPMorgan say "Real Estate" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $10.00 |