0x0926A8ab545087caE14d89d5aF532327D4154624-1771539129373
0x0926a8ab545087cae14d89d5af532327d4154624
- Realised P&L
- $-12.5k
- Volume
- $1.45M
- Markets traded
- 178
- Open portfolio
- $28.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded178
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.003 | $28.41 | +$5.69 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET · Down | 0.103 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$108.00 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$220.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET · Up | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET · Down | 0.223 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.00 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? · No | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$719.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.5kat 0.354Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
- +$974.00at 0.301Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
- +$880.24at 0.615Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
- +$785.51at 0.393Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
- +$719.83at 0.459Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 09:13 | Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.002 | $22.73 |
| 07-14 22:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET | BUY | 0.0098472204 | $2.00 |
| 07-14 22:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $2.00 |
| 07-14 22:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $2.00 |
| 07-14 22:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $2.00 |
| 07-14 22:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET | BUY | 0.1099999962 | $25.00 |
| 07-14 22:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET | BUY | 0.1742119758 | $25.00 |
| 07-14 22:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET | BUY | 0.2199999944 | $25.00 |
| 07-14 22:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $25.00 |
| 07-14 22:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $25.00 |
| 07-14 21:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | BUY | 0.8899999968 | $25.00 |
| 07-14 21:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | BUY | 0.2051221884 | $25.00 |
| 07-14 21:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | BUY | 0.3599999931 | $25.00 |
| 07-14 21:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | SELL | 0.3096507439 | $165.88 |
| 07-14 21:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | BUY | 0.3499999986 | $100.00 |