PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

btcethllt

0x091a829738482750883a1b2f5715e06319037417

Realised P&L
$-522.76
Volume
$68.9k
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$58.37

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration98.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? · Yes0.2400.115$57.50$62.50
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%? · Yes0.0040.011$0.87+$0.57
First to 5k: Gold or ETH? · ETH0.0090.000$0.00$21.91
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$48.00
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? · No0.0870.000$0.00$8.70
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on November 18? · No0.7500.000$0.00$75.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$10.00
Will Trump visit China by June 30? · No0.2000.000$0.00$20.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March? · No0.0240.000$0.00$4.77
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$28.99
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in June? · Yes0.0670.000$0.00$6.70
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? · No0.8400.000$0.00$84.00
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of January? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$10.00
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? · No0.1250.000$0.00$12.55
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? · Yes0.1450.000$0.00$14.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-10 16:56Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July?BUY0.16$48.00
07-10 16:34China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?SELL0.9303399$93.03
07-10 16:32Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL0.948$94.80
07-10 16:31Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?SELL0.972$97.20
07-10 16:29China coup attempt before 2027?SELL0.976$161.50
06-09 15:33Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?BUY0.13$13.00
06-09 12:04Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in June?BUY0.067$0.67
06-07 09:32Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.003$2.40
06-07 09:19SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?BUY0.087$1.30
05-08 14:35Will Trump visit China by May 15?BUY0.1$10.00
04-12 12:29Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?BUY0.24$11.27
03-28 11:25Will Trump visit China by June 30?BUY0.2$20.00
03-27 17:20Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?BUY0.0234712583$1.34
03-24 13:11Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?BUY0.145$3.62
03-24 13:10Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?BUY0.2898939$28.99