btcethllt
0x091a829738482750883a1b2f5715e06319037417
- Realised P&L
- $-522.76
- Volume
- $68.9k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $58.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.09at 0.909China coup attempt before 2027?
- +$9.03at 0.840China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
- +$9.01at 0.880Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
- +$7.60at 0.870Xi Jinping out before 2027?
- +$3.08at 0.942Will Base launch a token in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-10 16:56 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July? | BUY | 0.16 | $48.00 |
| 07-10 16:34 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | SELL | 0.9303399 | $93.03 |
| 07-10 16:32 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.948 | $94.80 |
| 07-10 16:31 | Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | SELL | 0.972 | $97.20 |
| 07-10 16:29 | China coup attempt before 2027? | SELL | 0.976 | $161.50 |
| 06-09 15:33 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? | BUY | 0.13 | $13.00 |
| 06-09 12:04 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in June? | BUY | 0.067 | $0.67 |
| 06-07 09:32 | Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.003 | $2.40 |
| 06-07 09:19 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? | BUY | 0.087 | $1.30 |
| 05-08 14:35 | Will Trump visit China by May 15? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 04-12 12:29 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April? | BUY | 0.24 | $11.27 |
| 03-28 11:25 | Will Trump visit China by June 30? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 03-27 17:20 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March? | BUY | 0.0234712583 | $1.34 |
| 03-24 13:11 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | BUY | 0.145 | $3.62 |
| 03-24 13:10 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | BUY | 0.2898939 | $28.99 |