0x0918a3f24c0c78d4d258f82db26426ee4c428dac
0x0918a3f24c0c78d4d258f82db26426ee4c428dac
- Realised P&L
- $0.18
- Volume
- $38.80
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $3.75
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 12? · No | 0.942 | 0.983 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 12? · No | 0.929 | 0.953 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 13? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.855 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 13? · No | 0.460 | 0.310 | $0.67 | −$0.33 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.89at 0.580Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.65at 0.541Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
- +$0.31at 0.929Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 11?
- +$0.15at 0.870Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 11?
- +$0.07at 0.954Will Ethereum reach $2,000 August 3-9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 04:23 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 12? | BUY | 0.9289999647 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 04:18 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 13? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 16:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.9509997385 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 16:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 12? | BUY | 0.9419999472 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 16:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 11? | BUY | 0.8549999743 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 16:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 13? | BUY | 0.8499997025 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 22:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 11? | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 22:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET | SELL | 0.19 | $0.08 |
| 10-10 22:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET | SELL | 0.25 | $0.12 |
| 10-10 22:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 21:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET | SELL | 0.86 | $0.04 |
| 10-10 21:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET | SELL | 0.88 | $0.20 |
| 10-10 21:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET | SELL | 0.82 | $0.06 |
| 10-10 21:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET | SELL | 0.81 | $0.43 |
| 10-10 21:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET | SELL | 0.81 | $0.09 |