vjacobs
0x0914d1a5e5545f7f3c90b47f4eda042e5d4a5290
- Realised P&L
- $3.57
- Volume
- $12.6k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $92.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? · No | 0.649 | 1.000 | $39.47 | +$13.85 |
| Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $144 in October? · No | 0.760 | 0.790 | $24.80 | +$0.94 |
| Will Rui Costa win the most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.885 | $19.27 | +$1.20 |
| Will Rob Howard win the 2026 Richmond mayoral election? · No | 0.550 | 0.399 | $8.86 | −$3.37 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.33at 0.540Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 21?
- +$12.31at 0.552Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees
- +$10.05at 0.998Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
- +$6.27at 0.665Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of September 2026?
- +$5.09at 0.690Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 17:02 | Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.54 | $14.85 |
| 01-31 14:06 | Will Ethena hit $0.29 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.38 |
| 01-30 15:55 | Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.05 |
| 01-30 15:44 | Will Ethena hit $0.29 in January? | BUY | 0.997 | $18.99 |
| 01-30 14:45 | Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in January? | BUY | 0.995 | $17.48 |
| 01-30 13:03 | Will Opendoor dip to $1.25 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $28.30 |
| 12-30 09:59 | Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" in 2025? | BUY | 0.9988895122 | $17.63 |
| 12-29 22:40 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BUY | 0.9989999624 | $24.07 |
| 12-29 22:32 | Will XRP reach $3.20 before 2026? | BUY | 0.997999992 | $17.68 |
| 12-29 19:21 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $27.78 |
| 10-30 23:01 | Will Solana reach $250 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.42 |
| 10-30 19:25 | Will Solana dip to $120 in October? | BUY | 0.9989999726 | $24.31 |
| 09-29 17:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $125K in September? | BUY | 0.9979999833 | $14.66 |
| 09-29 00:12 | Will XRP dip to $1.80 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.88 |
| 09-28 21:05 | Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.81 |