truthntrick
0x091005795ddfe1ea854cd25a4d077c6240544e63
- Realised P&L
- $-5.47
- Volume
- $101.57
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $4.46
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration81.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 18? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.610 | $1.80 | +$0.06 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 18? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.175 | $1.57 | −$0.41 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 18? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.027 | $1.08 | −$0.42 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 17? · Yes | 0.589 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.20at 0.482Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 4?
- +$0.05at 0.432Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 2?
- +$-0.19at 0.503Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 3?
- +$-1.11at 0.462Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 22:10 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.5899999084 | $1.74 |
| 09-17 22:10 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.98 |
| 09-17 22:10 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.0374077898 | $1.50 |
| 09-17 05:54 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.5885057471 | $4.00 |
| 09-17 05:52 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 09-15 10:40 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 09-03 20:55 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 4? | BUY | 0.4699999831 | $2.50 |
| 09-02 21:06 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 3? | SELL | 0.47 | $1.45 |
| 09-02 17:39 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 3? | BUY | 0.4901960784 | $2.50 |
| 09-01 19:10 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 2? | BUY | 0.4199999048 | $1.50 |
| 09-01 19:06 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 2? | BUY | 0.4199998236 | $1.00 |