bngfr3sv
0x0909ad182c56d264d56f038eb0416772599780b5
- Realised P&L
- $-19.07
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $29.03
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.041 | 0.025 | $29.03 | −$19.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.65at 0.912Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
- +$-0.51at 0.883Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$-3.45at 0.860Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?
- +$-4.55at 0.622Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-03 02:14 | Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $95.44 |
| 06-13 07:02 | Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $98.89 |
| 05-08 08:15 | Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.95 | $224.76 |
| 04-27 11:46 | Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.912 | $215.77 |
| 04-13 07:59 | Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.8829999998 | $150.99 |
| 03-22 03:25 | Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.622 | $217.70 |