Joycedfbfg
0x0902b402f4509acb436cde781525081ed3ad6d78
- Realised P&L
- $-51.34
- Volume
- $15.0k
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $39.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Levante UD win on 2026-09-16? · No | 0.750 | 0.735 | $24.99 | −$0.51 |
| Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) · FC Barcelona | 0.230 | 0.225 | $14.18 | −$0.31 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No | 0.788 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.40 |
| Valorant: EDward Gaming vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A · EDward Gaming | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.20 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? · No | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.62 |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers · Cavaliers | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.25 |
| RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.90 |
| Will RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Elche CF end in a draw? · No | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.94 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$373.50at 0.500Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican?
- +$367.52at 0.500Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?
- +$364.32at 0.500Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$168.62at 0.998Will Greens win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?
- +$23.71at 0.500Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 07:25 | Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) | BUY | 0.23 | $14.49 |
| 10-20 07:23 | Will Levante UD win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.75 | $25.50 |
| 09-15 12:12 | RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.69 | $6.90 |
| 09-07 03:43 | Patriots vs. Seahawks | BUY | 0.63 | $6.30 |
| 08-17 07:46 | Will RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Elche CF end in a draw? | BUY | 0.69 | $17.94 |
| 08-08 05:56 | LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group | BUY | 0.62 | $13.64 |
| 07-14 07:49 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.788 | $13.40 |
| 07-02 06:16 | Valorant: EDward Gaming vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A | BUY | 0.4 | $10.20 |
| 06-24 03:32 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.59 | $10.62 |
| 05-27 01:58 | Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $12.98 |
| 05-27 01:56 | Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $13.00 |
| 05-26 06:12 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $28.13 |
| 05-14 12:07 | Pistons vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.61 | $15.25 |
| 05-13 11:10 | LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana | BUY | 0.68 | $22.44 |
| 03-26 08:12 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 March 23-29? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |