everrisetrader
0x08ffedfc9c4dbd00b6bfe3b89a027eac064b32eb
- Realised P&L
- $-21.3k
- Volume
- $12.31M
- Markets traded
- 606
- Open portfolio
- $6.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded606
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? · Yes | 0.054 | 0.005 | $6.87 | −$67.46 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.7kat 0.435Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2026-05-13?
- +$4.0kat 0.102Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?
- +$2.4kat 0.850Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?
- +$2.3kat 0.749Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?
- +$2.3kat 0.061Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 18:49 | W35 Las Vegas, NV: Annika Penickova vs Francesca Pace | BUY | 0.52 | $50.00 |
| 10-10 18:44 | W35 Las Vegas, NV: Annika Penickova vs Francesca Pace | BUY | 0.6 | $45.00 |
| 10-10 17:56 | Palermo: Jonas Forejtek vs Alejandro Moro Canas | BUY | 0.52 | $50.00 |
| 10-10 17:19 | Palermo: Jonas Forejtek vs Alejandro Moro Canas | BUY | 0.65 | $50.00 |
| 10-10 10:18 | W50 Heraklion: Ipek Oz vs Alice Tubello | BUY | 0.47 | $50.00 |
| 10-10 09:34 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BUY | 0.63 | $50.00 |
| 10-10 09:20 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Dalibor Svrcina vs Tomas Etcheverry | BUY | 0.49 | $50.00 |
| 10-06 00:04 | Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | BUY | 0.059 | $7.48 |
| 10-06 00:04 | Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | BUY | 0.048433058 | $9.50 |
| 10-06 00:02 | Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | BUY | 0.035 | $3.50 |
| 10-05 18:11 | Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.42 |
| 10-05 18:11 | Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | BUY | 0.995 | $129.35 |
| 10-05 18:11 | Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | BUY | 0.993950088 | $406.45 |
| 10-05 18:10 | Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | BUY | 0.974896861 | $1.1k |
| 10-05 18:10 | Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | BUY | 0.969963387 | $2.6k |