0x08FebdF3Ba7541679F195313e0ea974e8A5636e8-1777178594865
0x08febdf3ba7541679f195313e0ea974e8a5636e8
- Realised P&L
- $-70.91
- Volume
- $6.1k
- Markets traded
- 422
- Open portfolio
- $14.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded422
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No | 0.630 | 0.625 | $3.13 | −$0.03 |
| Spread: Broncos (-1.5) · Seahawks | 0.620 | 0.620 | $3.10 | +$0.00 |
| Smouha SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC: Draw at halftime? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.545 | $2.73 | −$0.03 |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? · No | 0.530 | 0.525 | $2.63 | −$0.03 |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-17? · No | 0.540 | 0.525 | $2.63 | −$0.07 |
| Ravens vs. Falcons · Falcons | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.15 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-5.5) · Nuggets | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.65 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.23at 0.096Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
- +$17.64at 0.333Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
- +$13.41at 0.656Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
- +$10.04at 0.096Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
- +$8.74at 0.737Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 05:15 | Smouha SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC: Draw at halftime? | BUY | 0.55 | $2.75 |
| 10-12 03:18 | Ravens vs. Falcons | BUY | 0.63 | $3.15 |
| 10-12 03:16 | Spread: Falcons (-3.5) | SELL | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 10-12 01:04 | Spread: Broncos (-1.5) | BUY | 0.62 | $3.10 |
| 10-12 01:02 | Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-10-11? | SELL | 0.84 | $4.20 |
| 10-12 00:32 | Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 10-12 00:29 | Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5) | SELL | 0.81 | $4.05 |
| 10-11 22:58 | Spread: Falcons (-3.5) | BUY | 0.53 | $2.65 |
| 10-11 22:32 | Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 10-11 22:32 | Will CR Flamengo vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 22:18 | Bucks vs. Hornets: O/U 221.5 | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 10-11 22:17 | Bucks vs. Hornets: O/U 222.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 10-11 22:17 | Spread: Lions (-2.5) | SELL | 0.96 | $4.80 |
| 10-11 21:58 | Will CR Flamengo vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.84 | $4.20 |
| 10-11 21:56 | Spread: Broncos (-7.5) | SELL | 0.82 | $4.10 |