PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x08fe738f9045d572fe5576a68cfae9a324921486

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$402.39

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration38.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Chen Ting-fei win the next Tainan Mayor election? · Yes0.9230.925$138.94+$0.25
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.9500.945$94.50−$0.50
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on November 2? · No0.9170.665$73.13−$27.69
Will Chen Su-yueh win the next Changhua County Magistrate election? · Yes0.8540.515$46.35−$30.55
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on November 2? · No0.7440.575$46.00−$13.50
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on November 2? · No0.6600.695$3.48+$0.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 15:08Will Chen Ting-fei win the next Tainan Mayor election?BUY0.93$46.50
11-01 13:59Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on November 2?BUY0.91$6.37
11-01 08:49Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on November 1?SELL0.999$37.78
11-01 08:47Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on November 1?SELL0.999$19.98
11-01 08:42Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on November 1?SELL0.999$99.90
11-01 08:40Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on November 1?BUY0.998$499.00
11-01 08:37Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on November 2?BUY0.93$4.65
11-01 08:31Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.95$95.00
11-01 08:27US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?SELL0.93$46.50
11-01 07:40Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on November 1?BUY0.997$199.40
11-01 07:05Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on November 1?BUY0.976$19.52
11-01 07:05Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on November 1?BUY0.977$7.82
11-01 05:51Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on November 2?BUY0.94$9.39
11-01 05:47Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on November 2?BUY0.93$18.60
11-01 05:43Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on November 2?BUY0.92$4.60