ouixxad
0x08fe502e588057412be3f6f9c37caa82ccb4bdae
- Realised P&L
- $-852.00
- Volume
- $62.8k
- Markets traded
- 182
- Open portfolio
- $1.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded182
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$450.00at 0.250Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?
- +$296.80at 0.440Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
- +$264.50at 0.540Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
- +$170.00at 0.660Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?
- +$59.30at 0.407Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 07:24 | Will China's CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026? | SELL | 0.65332 | $13.07 |
| 08-01 07:23 | Will "DTF St. Louis" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.60 |
| 08-01 07:22 | Will His & Hers be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.60 |
| 08-01 07:22 | Will His & Hers be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? | SELL | 0.14 | $2.80 |
| 08-01 06:51 | Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in June? | SELL | 0.652 | $13.04 |
| 08-01 06:43 | Will His & Hers be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? | BUY | 0.14 | $2.80 |
| 07-22 18:39 | Will LeBron James play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.65 |
| 07-22 18:39 | Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.40 |
| 07-16 13:50 | Will “RuPaul’s Drag Race” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series? | SELL | 0.09025 | $1.80 |
| 07-16 13:49 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2666083031 | $92.73 |
| 07-11 04:31 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9? | SELL | 0.0509666667 | $3.06 |
| 07-11 04:26 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 10? | SELL | 0.025 | $0.50 |
| 07-11 04:25 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 11? | SELL | 0.07171 | $1.43 |
| 07-11 04:17 | Will Jean Smart – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series? | SELL | 0.83 | $2.66 |
| 07-11 04:16 | Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby? | SELL | 0.157496 | $3.15 |