gsdjkrkxc378659cnxsk
0x08fc6b28a58b52837e2dc171a700339b369199f7
- Realised P&L
- $-821.79
- Volume
- $8.1k
- Markets traded
- 96
- Open portfolio
- $47.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded96
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on August 4? · No | 0.999 | 0.998 | $31.37 | −$0.03 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on August 4? · No | 0.996 | 0.999 | $13.53 | +$0.03 |
| Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.003 | $2.25 | −$2.25 |
| Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on February 3? · Up | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$832.50 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 25, 3AM ET · Up | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.54at 0.490XRP Up or Down - May 25, 3AM ET
- +$0.31at 0.990Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?
- +$0.26at 0.980Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 12?
- +$0.25at 0.992Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 29?
- +$0.20at 0.994Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 06:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.996 | $13.50 |
| 08-03 06:24 | Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $31.40 |
| 07-31 05:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.50 |
| 07-31 05:41 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $30.80 |
| 07-30 06:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 30? | BUY | 0.996 | $13.60 |
| 07-30 06:23 | Will XRP reach $1.20 on July 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $32.60 |
| 07-29 05:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 29? | BUY | 0.992 | $13.60 |
| 07-29 05:06 | Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 29? | BUY | 0.998 | $30.80 |
| 07-27 07:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 27? | BUY | 0.998 | $12.50 |
| 07-27 07:02 | Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 27? | BUY | 0.999 | $31.80 |
| 07-24 05:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 24? | BUY | 0.998 | $12.90 |
| 07-24 05:56 | Will XRP reach $1.30 on July 24? | BUY | 0.998 | $33.60 |
| 07-23 05:29 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 23? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.40 |
| 07-23 05:28 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 23? | BUY | 0.996 | $31.80 |
| 07-22 06:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.90 |