0x08faeb0d2a305b8b96b043e66f6a7d7755e159b8
- Realised P&L
- $-0.40
- Volume
- $764.03
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $7.70
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration98.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yo FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.570 | $5.70 | +$1.20 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 30? · Yes | 0.940 | 1.000 | $2.00 | +$0.12 |
| Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$0.28 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 30? · Yes | 0.475 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.55 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 72°F or higher on May 1? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 2? · Yes | 0.121 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.97 |
| Will Jason Miyares be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.06 |
| BitBoy convicted? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.84at 0.743Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on February 4?
- +$0.30at 0.940Will the highest temperature in New York City be 33-34°F on February 2?
- +$-0.02at 0.976Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-01 21:30 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 2? | BUY | 0.121 | $0.97 |
| 04-30 22:00 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be 72°F or higher on May 1? | BUY | 0.0107114113 | $2.00 |
| 04-30 21:59 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be 72°F or higher on May 1? | BUY | 0.0066905072 | $2.00 |
| 04-30 21:07 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 30? | BUY | 0.94 | $1.88 |
| 04-30 19:05 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 30? | BUY | 0.47 | $1.41 |
| 04-30 18:59 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 30? | BUY | 0.47 | $1.41 |
| 04-30 18:59 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 30? | BUY | 0.48 | $1.44 |
| 04-30 18:59 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 30? | BUY | 0.47 | $1.41 |
| 04-30 18:58 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 30? | BUY | 0.47 | $1.41 |
| 04-30 18:58 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 30? | BUY | 0.49 | $1.47 |
| 04-30 03:48 | Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.028 | $0.72 |
| 04-30 03:47 | Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.028999973 | $1.03 |
| 04-26 22:19 | Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.972 | $4.86 |
| 04-26 22:18 | Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.976 | $4.88 |
| 04-26 22:08 | Yo FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.39 | $1.95 |