0x08f53cb5feecaf59e153f1ac4def311ef4ff7e94
0x08f53cb5feecaf59e153f1ac4def311ef4ff7e94
- Realised P&L
- $-23.51
- Volume
- $1.0k
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $9.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China PR win on 2026-10-02? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.032 | $3.69 | +$0.69 |
| Will San Marino win on 2026-09-29? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.018 | $2.43 | −$0.57 |
| Will Togo win on 2026-09-29? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.235 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
| Will Rwanda win on 2026-09-29? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.095 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will Congo win on 2026-09-29? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.135 | $0.90 | −$0.10 |
| Will Niger win on 2026-09-29? · Yes | 0.152 | 0.135 | $0.89 | −$0.11 |
| Will Sudan win on 2026-09-29? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Namibia win on 2026-09-29? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.86at 0.312Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-09-21?
- +$9.75at 0.522Will SS Lazio win on 2026-09-19?
- +$7.82at 0.543Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-18?
- +$7.14at 0.407Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-09-20?
- +$6.35at 0.438Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-09-21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 18:26 | Will Namibia win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 18:25 | Will Sudan win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 18:23 | Will Togo win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 18:22 | Will Congo win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 18:18 | Will Rwanda win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 18:18 | Will Niger win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.1523809524 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 18:10 | Will Botswana win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.0529999987 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 17:51 | Will Türkiye win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $3.00 |
| 09-27 09:55 | Will Sweden win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.4899999984 | $3.00 |
| 09-27 09:54 | Will San Marino win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.0228507814 | $3.00 |
| 09-27 09:51 | Will China PR win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.0259999999 | $3.00 |
| 09-25 22:04 | Will France win on 2026-09-25? | SELL | 0.999 | $7.03 |
| 09-25 22:04 | Will Sweden win on 2026-09-25? | SELL | 0.999 | $7.45 |
| 09-25 22:04 | Will Montenegro win on 2026-09-25? | SELL | 0.999 | $8.46 |
| 09-25 19:23 | Will Italy win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.1299999959 | $3.15 |