PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x08f53cb5feecaf59e153f1ac4def311ef4ff7e94

0x08f53cb5feecaf59e153f1ac4def311ef4ff7e94

Realised P&L
$-23.51
Volume
$1.0k
Markets traded
48
Open portfolio
$9.93

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded48
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample40 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)47.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China PR win on 2026-10-02? · Yes0.0260.032$3.69+$0.69
Will San Marino win on 2026-09-29? · Yes0.0230.018$2.43−$0.57
Will Togo win on 2026-09-29? · Yes0.2200.235$1.07+$0.07
Will Rwanda win on 2026-09-29? · Yes0.1000.095$0.95−$0.05
Will Congo win on 2026-09-29? · Yes0.1500.135$0.90−$0.10
Will Niger win on 2026-09-29? · Yes0.1520.135$0.89−$0.11
Will Sudan win on 2026-09-29? · Yes0.1900.001$0.00−$1.00
Will Namibia win on 2026-09-29? · Yes0.1900.001$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 18:26Will Namibia win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.1899999962$1.00
09-28 18:25Will Sudan win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.1899999962$1.00
09-28 18:23Will Togo win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.219999978$1.00
09-28 18:22Will Congo win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.1499999925$1.00
09-28 18:18Will Rwanda win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.1$1.00
09-28 18:18Will Niger win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.1523809524$1.00
09-28 18:10Will Botswana win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.0529999987$1.00
09-28 17:51Will Türkiye win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.3499999825$3.00
09-27 09:55Will Sweden win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.4899999984$3.00
09-27 09:54Will San Marino win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.0228507814$3.00
09-27 09:51Will China PR win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.0259999999$3.00
09-25 22:04Will France win on 2026-09-25?SELL0.999$7.03
09-25 22:04Will Sweden win on 2026-09-25?SELL0.999$7.45
09-25 22:04Will Montenegro win on 2026-09-25?SELL0.999$8.46
09-25 19:23Will Italy win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.1299999959$3.15