0x08f2578FD329b91161F8B6E348Ff10b7c12737E1-1762035271045
0x08f2578fd329b91161f8b6e348ff10b7c12737e1
- Realised P&L
- $-96.19
- Volume
- $15.4k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $202.47
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$229.88at 0.070Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$38.25at 0.200Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$33.33at 0.310Will Trump say "Nobel" or "Peace Prize" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
- +$19.07at 0.360Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
- +$8.84at 0.151Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-15 16:09 | US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | BUY | 0.5 | $90.00 |
| 03-01 02:05 | Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.2002910301 | $100.00 |
| 03-01 02:02 | US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31? | BUY | 0.2485811237 | $10.00 |
| 02-28 22:55 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31? | BUY | 0.2299999933 | $25.00 |
| 02-28 22:53 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0420000004 | $5.00 |
| 02-28 22:51 | Will GTA 6 cost $100+? | BUY | 0.0024747938 | $9.00 |
| 02-28 22:42 | Will Khamenei tweet again by March 1? | BUY | 0.0239999977 | $10.00 |
| 02-28 22:41 | Will Khamenei tweet again by March 14? | BUY | 0.0175926252 | $10.00 |
| 02-28 22:41 | Will Khamenei tweet again by March 2? | BUY | 0.03 | $10.00 |
| 02-28 22:40 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 7th? | BUY | 0.4590433531 | $200.00 |
| 02-28 22:32 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.965 | $48.25 |
| 02-28 22:32 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SELL | 0.964 | $247.88 |
| 02-25 06:26 | Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address? | SELL | 0.9843391162 | $30.07 |
| 02-25 06:26 | Will Trump say "Nobel" or "Peace Prize" during the 2026 State of the Union address? | SELL | 0.999 | $48.33 |
| 02-23 17:24 | US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.0469999956 | $10.00 |