PolyBot

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Traders

Rust701

0x08e4a65a33b6b52d4b250f1a0eeba1ac5ac7e173

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$1.15M
Markets traded
760
Open portfolio
$0.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded760
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.7130.000$0.00−$120.00
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-03? · Yes0.6300.000$0.00−$100.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 10? · No0.1780.000$0.00−$3.25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 21? · No0.5570.000$0.00−$300.00
Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 0.5 · Over0.8000.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-07? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Bermuda win on 2026-06-06? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Panama win on 2026-06-23? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 25? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00−$20.00
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Malawi win on 2026-06-06? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$20.00
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5 · Over0.7300.000$0.00−$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 06:11Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 1?SELL0.9681869516$3.2k
10-01 00:33Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 1?BUY0.9082053857$1000.00
09-30 19:29Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 1?BUY0.9255845926$2.0k
09-30 13:22Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 30?SELL0.9930769276$2.0k
09-30 12:14Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 30?BUY0.9730255791$2.0k
09-29 18:36Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 30?SELL0.9$2.2k
09-29 16:46Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 30?BUY0.8209693372$2.0k
09-29 14:07Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 29?SELL0.9929189073$2.0k
09-29 11:22Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 29?BUY0.9701220393$2.0k
09-29 06:18Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 29?SELL0.9605045144$2.1k
09-28 19:19Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 29?BUY0.9341816568$2.0k
09-28 15:03Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 28?SELL0.9786881901$6.1k
09-27 17:36Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 28?BUY0.9691852074$6.0k
09-26 16:47Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 27?BUY0.9797340022$4.0k
09-26 05:34Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 26?SELL0.59$182.30