0x08E48a80051B359b7624Af273C4178b974201780-1772879725711
0x08e48a80051b359b7624af273c4178b974201780
- Realised P&L
- $-24.38
- Volume
- $5.9k
- Markets traded
- 933
- Open portfolio
- $64.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded933
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C or higher on August 6? · No | 0.880 | 0.960 | $21.82 | +$1.82 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 6? · No | 0.910 | 0.910 | $20.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 5? · No | 0.780 | 0.845 | $13.00 | +$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 5? · No | 0.930 | 0.775 | $10.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 3? · No | 0.780 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.25 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 2? · No | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.25 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 2? · No | 0.834 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.92at 0.650Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 17?
- +$7.44at 0.617Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 29?
- +$7.05at 0.630Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 29?
- +$6.77at 0.418Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 19?
- +$6.43at 0.700Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 06:57 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C or higher on August 6? | BUY | 0.8799999965 | $20.00 |
| 08-04 06:55 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.9099999995 | $20.00 |
| 08-03 06:05 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.9299999984 | $12.00 |
| 08-03 06:03 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.7799999909 | $12.00 |
| 08-02 08:39 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.8299999859 | $8.25 |
| 08-02 08:36 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.8099999961 | $8.25 |
| 08-02 08:34 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.913764243 | $8.25 |
| 08-02 08:33 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.7799999849 | $8.25 |
| 08-02 08:32 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.833684205 | $8.25 |
| 08-01 09:45 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.6552346344 | $8.25 |
| 08-01 09:43 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.8399999944 | $12.00 |
| 08-01 09:42 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.66 | $8.25 |
| 07-31 07:02 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.8663900378 | $12.00 |
| 07-31 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.9 | $12.00 |
| 07-31 06:59 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.8799999971 | $12.00 |