0x08e3205c87f7d233645d5afd43d76e9e6e2fc0ae
- Realised P&L
- $-194.98
- Volume
- $5.2k
- Markets traded
- 297
- Open portfolio
- $117.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded297
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$84.38at 0.462Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
- +$56.94at 0.109Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
- +$15.06at 0.635Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6AM ET
- +$15.00at 0.519Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
- +$12.63at 0.512Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 03:00 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.2201177086 | $2.39 |
| 09-18 01:00 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.609999984 | $8.78 |
| 09-18 01:00 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.5399999919 | $2.66 |
| 09-18 01:00 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.5599999843 | $5.72 |
| 09-18 00:21 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.6699999941 | $7.93 |
| 09-18 00:02 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.48 |
| 09-17 23:21 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.5299999977 | $11.54 |
| 09-17 23:11 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.6199999406 | $3.55 |
| 09-17 22:31 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.6390999901 | $44.27 |
| 09-17 22:16 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.45 |
| 09-17 22:01 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.18 |
| 09-17 20:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.2699999799 | $2.01 |
| 09-17 19:01 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.239471159 | $11.23 |
| 09-17 19:01 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.1533103438 | $1.17 |
| 09-17 18:35 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.75 | $2.81 |