XsiroX
0x08d95979739b2dd6cf2d928e1b5a4547f53580a4
- Realised P&L
- $153.00
- Volume
- $76.8k
- Markets traded
- 116
- Open portfolio
- $0.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded116
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.295Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
- +$1.0kat 0.097Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?
- +$914.74at 0.148Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
- +$749.58at 0.228Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
- +$726.73at 0.414Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 17:14 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.3755637603 | $150.81 |
| 09-29 17:13 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.224163351 | $161.13 |
| 09-29 00:37 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $165.33 |
| 09-17 23:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 22:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 19:21 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 18:57 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.3406572081 | $234.34 |
| 09-17 06:10 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.5030954952 | $531.41 |
| 09-17 06:10 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.1455444458 | $100.00 |
| 09-16 13:42 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.3215690846 | $167.00 |
| 09-16 12:39 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 07:55 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.6199999907 | $24.00 |
| 09-16 05:03 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.3648685813 | $251.00 |
| 09-16 00:08 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.6699999993 | $100.00 |
| 09-15 18:25 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.640680027 | $100.00 |