PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x08C89325B23580810FE2e283a6E3551B3D9cF6a4-1773429495713

0x08c89325b23580810fe2e283a6e3551b3d9cf6a4

Realised P&L
$-4.29
Volume
$411.51
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$0.65

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next? · Yes0.8000.525$0.65$0.34

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-11 19:38Will France win Eurovision 2026?SELL0.05$0.25
05-11 19:37Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?SELL0.79$1.07
05-07 15:35Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?SELL0.408$1.05
05-07 15:35Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?SELL0.43$1.16
05-07 07:24Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?SELL0.53$1.18
05-06 14:42Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?BUY0.4499997975$1.00
05-06 14:35Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?BUY0.3699998631$1.00
05-06 14:34Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?BUY0.74$1.00
05-06 14:32Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionSELL0.89$1.03
04-13 06:03Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?BUY0.9819999057$1.00
04-13 06:02Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next?BUY0.8$0.99
04-12 09:45Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?BUY0.92$1.00
04-12 09:41Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionBUY0.8599995356$1.00
04-12 09:38Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.3889997755$1.00
04-01 10:58Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 1?SELL0.62$1.14