0x08C89325B23580810FE2e283a6E3551B3D9cF6a4-1773429495713
0x08c89325b23580810fe2e283a6e3551b3d9cf6a4
- Realised P&L
- $-4.29
- Volume
- $411.51
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $0.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.525 | $0.65 | −$0.34 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.16at 0.393Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
- +$0.50at 0.660US forces enter Iran by March 31?
- +$0.18at 0.450Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
- +$0.17at 0.530Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 1?
- +$0.16at 0.370Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 19:38 | Will France win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.25 |
| 05-11 19:37 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May? | SELL | 0.79 | $1.07 |
| 05-07 15:35 | Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.408 | $1.05 |
| 05-07 15:35 | Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? | SELL | 0.43 | $1.16 |
| 05-07 07:24 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.53 | $1.18 |
| 05-06 14:42 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499997975 | $1.00 |
| 05-06 14:35 | Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 05-06 14:34 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 05-06 14:32 | Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | SELL | 0.89 | $1.03 |
| 04-13 06:03 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9819999057 | $1.00 |
| 04-13 06:02 | Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next? | BUY | 0.8 | $0.99 |
| 04-12 09:45 | Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 04-12 09:41 | Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | BUY | 0.8599995356 | $1.00 |
| 04-12 09:38 | Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.3889997755 | $1.00 |
| 04-01 10:58 | Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 1? | SELL | 0.62 | $1.14 |