DongwangWin
0x08c3a5a55e27a67edb50da34f7fe1629af3a998c
- Realised P&L
- $-457.32
- Volume
- $22.4k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration87.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? · Yes | 0.881 | 0.895 | $2.0k | +$31.02 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No | 0.418 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.8k |
| Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Brothers (BO5) - Games of the Future Playoffs · Yakult Brothers | 0.443 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.764Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$206.12at 0.830Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$14.14at 0.870Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
- +$1.12at 0.984Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 07:55 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-11 09:43 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.38 | $1.4k |
| 08-05 12:57 | Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Brothers (BO5) - Games of the Future Playoffs | BUY | 0.4426084373 | $100.00 |
| 08-05 07:14 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | BUY | 0.8813304403 | $2.0k |
| 08-05 07:01 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5199999998 | $1000.00 |
| 08-03 06:29 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4399999999 | $1000.00 |
| 07-30 02:20 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.48 | $1.5k |
| 07-24 08:27 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7551709155 | $4.9k |
| 12-18 09:53 | Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025? | SELL | 0.995 | $101.11 |
| 11-27 06:34 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.8299999995 | $1.0k |
| 11-13 03:04 | Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15? | SELL | 0.993 | $114.14 |
| 11-10 06:11 | Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15? | BUY | 0.8699999957 | $100.00 |
| 11-05 09:18 | Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025? | BUY | 0.9839999925 | $100.00 |