nihaoworld
0x08bf40defef7c5dd0dc4ddfeaf7b3f375823df57
- Realised P&L
- $-301.46
- Volume
- $666.3k
- Markets traded
- 8,338
- Open portfolio
- $49.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded8,338
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 8.5 · Under | 0.930 | 0.925 | $49.73 | −$0.27 |
| Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5) · FK Bodø/Glimt | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$246.11at 0.705Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
- +$137.49at 0.720Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
- +$136.31at 0.695Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
- +$130.81at 0.740Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
- +$126.30at 0.723Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 13:25 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 18? | SELL | 0.15 | $1.83 |
| 09-18 09:29 | FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.9299999993 | $50.00 |
| 09-18 07:04 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.9 | $11.00 |
| 09-10 19:58 | Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5) | BUY | 0.629999995 | $25.00 |
| 09-10 19:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3PM ET | SELL | 0.43 | $3.39 |
| 09-10 19:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3PM ET | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $6.00 |
| 09-10 16:12 | Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on September 10? | BUY | 0.6599999951 | $19.00 |
| 09-10 16:11 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10? | SELL | 0.965 | $19.34 |
| 09-10 14:52 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10? | BUY | 0.8979999745 | $18.00 |
| 09-10 14:05 | Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on September 10? | BUY | 0.888027299 | $17.00 |
| 09-10 13:59 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 10? | SELL | 0.95 | $17.27 |
| 09-10 13:26 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 10? | BUY | 0.8690374528 | $15.80 |
| 09-10 12:41 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 10? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.08 |
| 09-10 12:34 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 10? | BUY | 0.96 | $15.00 |
| 09-10 12:00 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 10? | SELL | 0.18 | $7.11 |