0x08bB098AEfA2accD01eA0342d032f2CaE0cFeeC6-1764780465709
0x08bb098aefa2accd01ea0342d032f2cae0cfeec6
- Realised P&L
- $-88.80
- Volume
- $81.3k
- Markets traded
- 3,682
- Open portfolio
- $31.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,682
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.173 | 0.225 | $13.33 | +$3.07 |
| Will The Black Ball win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.725 | $10.15 | +$0.77 |
| Will Deportivo La Coruña be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.160 | $8.00 | +$3.00 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.40 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.102 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.19 |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$141.67at 0.566Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
- +$123.50at 0.428Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
- +$117.47at 0.487Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
- +$116.44at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
- +$107.71at 0.532Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 12:40 | Will Deportivo La Coruña be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 12:36 | Will The Black Ball win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.67 | $9.38 |
| 09-16 12:35 | Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.1731353358 | $10.26 |
| 07-14 07:38 | Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.4509999597 | $3.22 |
| 07-08 09:49 | Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.74 | $2.22 |
| 07-07 08:35 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.73 | $1.46 |
| 06-28 07:47 | Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.61 | $1.22 |
| 06-15 17:05 | Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.40 |
| 06-10 10:34 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.04 | $3.00 |
| 06-10 10:33 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1019999739 | $3.19 |
| 06-10 10:33 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1629999566 | $3.06 |
| 06-10 10:27 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.40 |
| 06-10 10:26 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | SELL | 0.69 | $1.38 |
| 06-10 10:26 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.40 |
| 05-17 19:35 | Will Mallorca be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season? | BUY | 0.8479999915 | $4.00 |