adi5432
0x08b2c71724de776bb89a624395b8e16818cc55dc
- Realised P&L
- $-128.35
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $36.74
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? · Yes | 0.164 | 0.065 | $36.74 | −$55.71 |
| Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in June? · No | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June? · No | 0.322 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.34 |
| Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$38.82 |
| Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz in June? · No | 0.045 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in June? · No | 0.042 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in June? · No | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in June? · No | 0.048 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.73at 0.769Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-05 15:55 | Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BUY | 0.6597140474 | $38.82 |
| 07-05 15:53 | Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? | SELL | 0.21 | $39.56 |
| 07-04 15:22 | Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $36.63 |
| 07-04 15:18 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.89 | $36.29 |
| 06-24 21:31 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7599999951 | $31.00 |
| 06-24 21:27 | Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? | SELL | 0.3264620422 | $31.91 |
| 06-13 08:31 | Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June? | BUY | 0.3222750328 | $5.34 |
| 06-13 08:31 | Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in June? | BUY | 0.1299999902 | $10.00 |
| 06-13 08:31 | Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in June? | BUY | 0.0699999939 | $10.00 |
| 06-13 08:31 | Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in June? | BUY | 0.047590831 | $10.00 |
| 06-13 08:30 | Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz in June? | BUY | 0.0452944746 | $10.00 |
| 06-13 08:30 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in June? | BUY | 0.0423515931 | $10.00 |
| 06-13 07:51 | Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $111.07 |