baseballlover
0x08adfef53c221e3990a900be70119f2915f0208e
- Realised P&L
- $-17.3k
- Volume
- $2.65M
- Markets traded
- 259
- Open portfolio
- $13.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded259
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.0kat 0.400Royals vs. Rays
- +$8.2kat 0.355Rockies vs. Cardinals
- +$8.1kat 0.340Astros vs. Yankees
- +$7.7kat 0.410Yankees vs. Blue Jays
- +$7.4kat 0.345Padres vs. Rockies
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 12:40 | Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.1413518651 | $57.18 |
| 09-14 12:40 | Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.141 | $94.19 |
| 09-14 12:37 | Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BUY | 0.218 | $14.17 |
| 09-13 14:01 | Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 National League Championship Series? | BUY | 0.2229324324 | $329.94 |
| 09-12 14:45 | Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.138 | $156.77 |
| 09-11 13:39 | Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 National League Championship Series? | SELL | 0.239 | $37.05 |
| 09-11 13:35 | Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.1351759748 | $129.90 |
| 09-08 13:43 | Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.6828032407 | $294.97 |
| 09-08 13:42 | Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 National League Championship Series? | BUY | 0.217 | $4.12 |
| 09-07 10:55 | Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.68 | $580.72 |
| 09-06 12:41 | Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BUY | 0.1201854234 | $112.13 |
| 09-02 14:11 | Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BUY | 0.123 | $3.69 |
| 08-27 14:48 | Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 National League Championship Series? | BUY | 0.1911086852 | $114.84 |
| 08-25 13:47 | Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BUY | 0.094 | $1.03 |
| 08-23 13:15 | Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.114 | $0.03 |