baseballlover
0x08adfef53c221e3990a900be70119f2915f0208e
- Realised P&L
- $-18.9k
- Volume
- $2.45M
- Markets traded
- 254
- Open portfolio
- $12.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded254
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.0kat 0.400Royals vs. Rays
- +$8.2kat 0.355Rockies vs. Cardinals
- +$8.1kat 0.340Astros vs. Yankees
- +$7.7kat 0.410Yankees vs. Blue Jays
- +$7.4kat 0.345Padres vs. Rockies
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 11:25 | Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BUY | 0.0952900273 | $40.08 |
| 07-31 13:35 | Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BUY | 0.094 | $2.82 |
| 07-29 12:57 | Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.0084175051 | $22.57 |
| 07-29 12:52 | Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.04 | $2.28 |
| 07-27 15:35 | Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.67 | $884.47 |
| 07-27 15:26 | Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.0901719299 | $560.80 |
| 07-25 13:54 | Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series? | BUY | 0.57 | $455.96 |
| 07-23 13:10 | Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 National League Championship Series? | BUY | 0.1754360568 | $278.07 |
| 07-23 13:09 | Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BUY | 0.0700952193 | $406.99 |
| 07-19 15:36 | Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series? | BUY | 0.55 | $392.82 |
| 07-19 15:28 | Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.0878463708 | $40.48 |
| 07-18 23:53 | Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series? | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 07-18 11:28 | Will St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 National League Championship Series? | BUY | 0.0180762103 | $29.89 |
| 07-18 11:26 | Will Miami Marlins win the 2026 National League Championship Series? | BUY | 0.020006869 | $29.13 |
| 07-18 11:23 | Will Minnesota Twins win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BUY | 0.0207493128 | $40.24 |