0x08aA97D102b326840b4414f52F98B3e71A4BDC11-1773342688518
0x08aa97d102b326840b4414f52f98b3e71a4bdc11
- Realised P&L
- $294.85
- Volume
- $5.1k
- Markets traded
- 87
- Open portfolio
- $313.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded87
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.600 | 0.645 | $313.45 | +$21.87 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.61 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.214 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$70.81 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw? · Yes | 0.215 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.77 |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.97 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET · Down | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Spread: Thunder (-5.5) · Thunder | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes | 0.218 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$179.47at 0.532Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?
- +$124.26at 0.636Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$61.41at 0.582Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-17?
- +$39.74at 0.316Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$29.90at 0.196Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 13:54 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-17? | SELL | 0.999 | $146.85 |
| 10-15 06:14 | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.5999999996 | $291.58 |
| 10-15 04:01 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.5699999973 | $84.00 |
| 10-08 20:44 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.5199999981 | $96.62 |
| 10-08 20:44 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.5199999996 | $53.00 |
| 10-08 20:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | BUY | 0.1799999999 | $25.00 |
| 10-08 20:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | SELL | 0.3123009664 | $6.79 |
| 10-08 20:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | BUY | 0.229999994 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 20:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | SELL | 0.7 | $29.16 |
| 10-08 20:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5999999952 | $25.00 |
| 10-08 20:40 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.5199999954 | $50.00 |
| 07-19 22:18 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.999 | $76.80 |
| 07-19 20:44 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.617999999 | $19.00 |
| 07-19 20:43 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6286176106 | $29.00 |
| 07-19 20:42 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.398 | $62.51 |