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Traders

simon51

0x08a46479e04468c75bf0839a58fd6cabdf8d5c3f

Realised P&L
$46.3k
Volume
$1.86M
Markets traded
434
Open portfolio
$5.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded434
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.1080.051$2.7k−$3.1k
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No0.2440.305$2.0k+$401.20
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.1850.264$393.36+$118.26
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 · Over0.3900.000$0.00−$3.1k
Stars vs. Ducks · Stars0.5100.000$0.00−$294.53
Canucks vs. Kraken · Kraken0.4700.000$0.00−$1.5k
Oilers vs. Islanders · Oilers0.5900.000$0.00−$2.7k
Panthers vs. Red Wings · Panthers0.5600.000$0.00−$832.15
Canucks vs. Stars · Stars0.6100.000$0.00−$2.2k
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · Yes0.1880.000$0.00−$242.06
Oilers vs. Maple Leafs · Maple Leafs0.4700.000$0.00−$886.84
Islanders vs. Hurricanes · Islanders0.3460.000$0.00−$2.5k
Utah vs. Sharks · Utah0.5500.000$0.00−$970.19
Will Switzerland win on 2025-09-08? · No0.3330.000$0.00−$764.04
Kraken vs. Hurricanes · Kraken0.2940.000$0.00−$934.79

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 20:11Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.23$690.00
09-12 23:17Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.35$574.00
09-11 11:18Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.18$360.00
09-09 14:30Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.18$144.00
09-09 13:37Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.19$131.10
07-03 00:11Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to AdvanceBUY0.29850505$597.01
07-02 21:39Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5BUY0.4675$390.36
07-02 15:52Spread: Spain (-1.5)BUY0.5225$253.24
07-01 23:45Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Bosnia and Herzegovina?BUY0.0313577205$868.27
07-01 20:03Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.025$1.3k
06-30 05:00Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.041$1.6k
06-30 03:04Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5$2.0k
06-29 21:07Spread: Germany (-1.5)BUY0.37$1.1k
06-29 21:05Spread: Germany (-1.5)BUY0.37$357.84
06-29 17:38Brazil vs. Japan: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5$750.00
Trader simon51 · PolyBot Pro