dopac1
0x0895dcd763ed7f81c94c951b55056b872cd5e550
- Realised P&L
- $-690.04
- Volume
- $9.6k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $102.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greek snap election scheduled in 2026? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.145 | $76.19 | −$23.81 |
| Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece? · No | 0.154 | 0.205 | $26.63 | +$6.63 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$67.00 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$150.40at 0.249Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
- +$66.92at 0.130Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?
- +$52.89at 0.274Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
- +$41.63at 0.490Khamenei seen in public before July?
- +$39.85at 0.260Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 4–11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-15 14:50 | Greek snap election scheduled in 2026? | BUY | 0.1864276912 | $50.00 |
| 08-04 14:58 | Greek snap election scheduled in 2026? | BUY | 0.1943721488 | $50.00 |
| 08-04 14:57 | Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece? | BUY | 0.1539408867 | $20.00 |
| 05-21 07:38 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.689999999 | $100.00 |
| 03-19 07:56 | Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | SELL | 0.21 | $112.95 |
| 03-07 08:21 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? | BUY | 0.2876792356 | $37.51 |
| 03-07 08:20 | Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30? | SELL | 0.05622688 | $14.06 |
| 03-03 07:17 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | BUY | 0.249500998 | $50.00 |
| 03-03 07:15 | Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | BUY | 0.2199026255 | $100.00 |
| 01-29 16:17 | Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.1859168761 | $100.00 |
| 01-29 16:15 | Will the US strike Iran next? | BUY | 0.0600553053 | $20.00 |
| 01-29 16:14 | US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.4199999989 | $200.00 |
| 01-29 16:14 | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1540636206 | $100.00 |
| 01-29 16:12 | Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30? | BUY | 0.08 | $20.00 |
| 12-04 23:45 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.229999998 | $67.00 |