froguser
0x08945ab0434cc8574c5b1588ebe5ef061f34d819
- Realised P&L
- $5.2k
- Volume
- $440.2k
- Markets traded
- 295
- Open portfolio
- $8.0k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded295
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.296Will Trump say "Israel" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
- +$885.11at 0.347US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
- +$753.53at 0.344Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$690.00at 0.540Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
- +$610.00at 0.228Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 17:21 | Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5) | BUY | 0.59 | $442.50 |
| 08-02 17:17 | Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-12.5) | SELL | 0.5 | $378.28 |
| 08-02 17:16 | Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-12.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $550.00 |
| 08-02 17:16 | Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-12.5) | BUY | 0.49 | $51.45 |
| 08-02 17:13 | Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-12.5) | SELL | 0.52 | $178.59 |
| 08-02 17:11 | Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-12.5) | BUY | 0.53 | $583.00 |
| 07-29 18:52 | Will Warsh say "Predecessor" during July Press Conference? | SELL | 0.4 | $40.00 |
| 07-29 17:21 | Will Warsh say "Predecessor" during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.29 | $124.70 |
| 07-29 13:29 | Will Warsh say "Restrictive" during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.47 | $129.72 |
| 07-28 18:26 | Will Trump say "Ukraine" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | SELL | 0.6619740373 | $91.28 |
| 07-28 18:05 | Will Trump say "Ukraine" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | BUY | 0.76 | $190.00 |
| 07-28 14:27 | Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | SELL | 0.76 | $194.63 |
| 07-28 13:47 | Will Trump say "Israel" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | BUY | 0.2964746 | $592.95 |
| 07-28 13:14 | Will Trump say "See You Soon" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | BUY | 0.7 | $70.00 |
| 07-27 18:07 | Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 12+ times during Michigan remarks? | BUY | 0.36 | $36.00 |