dddsssfff
0x088d0a471958173d067b0f5063f6f807d03a82f9
- Realised P&L
- $-21.0k
- Volume
- $1.49M
- Markets traded
- 700
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded700
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October? · No | 0.795 | 0.825 | $418.27 | +$15.09 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 1? · Yes | 0.988 | 0.997 | $298.95 | +$2.65 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? · No | 0.725 | 0.735 | $259.83 | +$3.44 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 2? · Yes | 0.956 | 0.973 | $143.93 | +$2.44 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October? · No | 0.795 | 0.785 | $31.40 | −$0.40 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? · No | 0.615 | 0.605 | $24.20 | −$0.40 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October? · No | 0.400 | 0.395 | $3.95 | −$0.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.5kat 0.906US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
- +$2.4kat 0.881Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?
- +$2.1kat 0.884Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
- +$1.9kat 0.932Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?
- +$1.8kat 0.883Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 09:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 2? | BUY | 0.956 | $141.49 |
| 10-01 07:49 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? | BUY | 0.71 | $80.61 |
| 10-01 07:48 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October? | BUY | 0.77 | $174.79 |
| 09-30 13:36 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September? | SELL | 0.927 | $50.98 |
| 09-29 23:58 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September? | BUY | 0.96 | $834.24 |
| 09-29 23:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September? | SELL | 0.992 | $862.20 |
| 09-29 23:25 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September? | BUY | 0.96 | $170.88 |
| 09-29 23:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September? | SELL | 0.991 | $173.92 |
| 09-29 13:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September? | SELL | 0.988 | $108.68 |
| 09-28 23:54 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September? | BUY | 0.89 | $96.12 |
| 09-28 23:53 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September? | SELL | 0.972 | $97.20 |
| 09-28 07:09 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September? | SELL | 0.784 | $39.20 |
| 09-28 07:08 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September? | SELL | 0.785 | $39.25 |
| 09-28 07:08 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September? | SELL | 0.78 | $39.00 |
| 09-27 10:32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September? | BUY | 0.965 | $430.39 |