Mike2134
0x087f1ebe142349b74f404d6695b7e0759aa266ef
- Realised P&L
- $-6.90
- Volume
- $362.72
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $15.18
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration75.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.835 | $8.35 | +$0.15 |
| Spread: Cowboys (-9.5) · Cowboys | 0.510 | 0.455 | $6.83 | −$0.82 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.40at 0.595Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$2.97at 0.632Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
- +$0.47at 0.955No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?
- +$-0.47at 0.300Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$-1.10at 0.660Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 16:14 | Spread: Cowboys (-9.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $7.65 |
| 09-29 17:47 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.67 | $22.11 |
| 09-28 09:36 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.64 | $21.12 |
| 09-26 10:49 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.65 | $13.00 |
| 09-16 08:35 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8799999859 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 12:40 | No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.952999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-04 07:51 | Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0534549456 | $4.62 |
| 09-03 07:42 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 08-09 07:56 | Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs FTS (BO3) - Asgard Championship Playoffs | BUY | 0.5299999505 | $3.00 |
| 08-09 07:55 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.171 | $0.59 |
| 08-09 07:53 | Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 11:11 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.4249999677 | $6.90 |
| 07-19 11:06 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 11:04 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.00 |
| 07-19 11:01 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4074999733 | $5.00 |