0x08788f9594377513ea4282a6df56d2507f171363
0x08788f9594377513ea4282a6df56d2507f171363
- Realised P&L
- $0.00
- Volume
- $130.54
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $37.74
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abbott Laboratories (ABT) Q3 comparable sales growth 6% to 8%? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.655 | $12.94 | −$0.69 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on October 18? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.610 | $10.58 | −$0.69 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 19? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.465 | $9.30 | −$1.70 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on October 18? · No | 0.320 | 0.390 | $4.22 | +$0.76 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 18? · No | 0.360 | 0.035 | $0.71 | −$6.48 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.58at 0.410Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 18?
- +$7.14at 0.610Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 18?