PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

sincereCoati3

0x085d1ce41c90d96e505d5e0209cbd542113fd6a6

Realised P&L
$-884.48
Volume
$318.9k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$315.31

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration97.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0170.051$199.69+$134.15
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0060.001$95.65$1.1k
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0020.001$10.00$30.00
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0020.001$9.97$30.31

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-11 19:13Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.005$1.20
08-09 13:15Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.005$121.58
07-26 13:31Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.005$85.40
06-13 21:15Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.007$55.12
06-13 21:14Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.006$60.00
06-12 21:33Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.007$23.22
06-12 21:32Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.006$24.62
06-12 20:40Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.007$71.44
06-12 20:38Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.007$78.09
06-10 22:04Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.007$2.48
06-09 21:20Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.007$112.90
05-29 21:48Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.008$7.98
05-28 20:49Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.008$159.56
04-30 23:28Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.012$5.88
04-24 19:36Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.009$0.58