0x085c45ddea98bd305b1835185d4ea5f07f0cb05c
0x085c45ddea98bd305b1835185d4ea5f07f0cb05c
- Realised P&L
- $-4.52
- Volume
- $68.52
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $0.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)51.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.075 | $0.23 | −$0.77 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.780 | 0.125 | $0.16 | −$0.84 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · No | 0.410 | 0.037 | $0.09 | −$0.91 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.93at 0.347Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?
- +$1.61at 0.389Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $191 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$0.83at 0.550Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?
- +$0.62at 0.620Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $188 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$0.62at 0.620Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 05:55 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 21:55 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 02:17 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 21:59 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $191 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 07:20 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 11? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 11:00 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 02:26 | Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 16:30 | Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 16:30 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 08:20 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $320 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 14:38 | LAPTOP airdrop by September 9? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 00:58 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 09:34 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 15:09 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.66 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 18:04 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15? | BUY | 0.7099999432 | $1.00 |