hnkb
0x0859e9cf5b4261d6de8440183be3a433f2a4bac4
- Realised P&L
- $21.79
- Volume
- $3.9k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $34.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 19? · No | 0.960 | 0.998 | $26.86 | +$1.01 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 1? · Yes | 0.993 | 1.000 | $8.00 | +$0.06 |
| Will SG Dynamo Dresden win on 2026-03-21? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$70.99 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 5? · Yes | 0.911 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.75 |
| Chennaiyin FC vs. Inter Kashi FC: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$65.96 |
| Exact Score: SV Werder Bremen 1 - 1 RB Leipzig? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.00 |
| Spread: Telstar 1963 (-1.5) · Telstar 1963 | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$222.27 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$145.35at 0.810Will Club Alianza Lima vs. ADC Juan Pablo II College end in a draw?
- +$76.17at 0.810Will Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club end in a draw?
- +$75.00at 0.750DSC Arminia Bielefeld vs. SC Paderborn 07: O/U 1.5
- +$65.94at 0.780Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $200-$205 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 30 – Apr 3?
- +$34.65at 0.780Will "Anaconda" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-02 09:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 5? | BUY | 0.9113676616 | $16.75 |
| 04-02 04:50 | Chennaiyin FC vs. Inter Kashi FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.25 | $65.96 |
| 03-30 21:37 | Spread: Telstar 1963 (-1.5) | BUY | 0.25 | $222.27 |
| 03-29 19:53 | Exact Score: SV Werder Bremen 1 - 1 RB Leipzig? | BUY | 0.16 | $24.00 |
| 03-16 02:25 | Will SG Dynamo Dresden win on 2026-03-21? | BUY | 0.25 | $70.99 |